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ADEN, Yemen, A horrible scenario would have taken place in Yemen and its neighbouring Arab countries, particularly the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, in addition to the disruption that would have marred international maritime, at the strategic strait of Bab Al-Mandab, had the Houthi militias and deposed president, Ali Saleh were in comfortable power in Sanaa, without the initiative adopted by the Arab Coalition forces, led by Saudi Arabia, to intervene to end the coup, according to analysis by strategist experts.

In this regard, Dr. Najib Ghallab, former political science professor, at the University of Sanaa, and Dr. Hussein bin Lagur, a prominent Yemeni academician and politician, drew a picture for the presumed scenario that would have taken place in Yemen, had the Coalition not cut the way for Houthis and announce intervening, to rescue the legitimacy in Mar, 2015.

Dr. Ghallab commenced his analysis recalling the moments following the seizure of power in the Yemeni capital of Sanaa and imposing the Houthi and Saleh power. At the time, Iranian officials came out saying that "we have now controlled the fourth Arab capital."

Then, the Houthis conducted military manoeuvres in the vicinity of the Saudi border, sending clear messages and signs to neighbouring countries. We also monitored Houthi delegations visiting Tehran and signing several agreements, coinciding with daily Iranian flights to Sanaa, an evidence that what happened was an Iranian plot through a local agent, the Houthi militias, he added.

Professor Ghallab, who heads Al-Jazeerah (peninsula) Studies Centre, suggested that the Iranian project saw Yemen as the most possible port to export the revolution, where they could instate an identical regime to match with the Khomeini principle through creating a new centre in Yemen, to resemble its profile given Yemen's geographical site as a centre-location of the Arab identity.

The former political science professor of the University of Sanaa went on to say that, since Saudi Arabia and the other GCC member states represent the strongest and able Arab system to confront the Iranian interference in the region, Iran suggested that it could stage a wedge in Yemen, presuming that it is the Arab body's softest waist through which it could change the geo-strategy of the region.

According to Ghallab, Iran's seizure of Yemen would provide it with an effective leverage over the security of the Arab Gulf, Arab sea and Red Sea and, accordingly, impose siege against Saudi Arabia and the Arab Gulf countries and weaken their influence in curbing the exportation of the Iranian leverage and its control of the region, extending from Iraq passing through Syria and reaching Yemen.

For his part, Dr. Lagur said, it is very difficult to imagine a regional situation, if Houthi succeeded in tightening control over Yemen, in light of successive collapses targeting the Arab states, in favour of sectarian guerrilla and militias supported by Iran to foment chaos and control the Arab countries, whether in Iraq, Syria or Lebanon.

He added that the Arab region, particularly the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Member States, under the leadership of Saudi Arabia, have realised a danger of the situation in Yemen and taken a historic decision to support the legitimacy in Yemen.

Dr. Ghallab agreed that the intervention made by the coalition forces was compulsory, in light of a complicated situation in Yemen, and its internal and regional repercussions.

Ghallab stressed that the Arab intervention, through a wide coalition, was a natural, spontaneous and proactive response. It was a response to direct threats and risks against the survival of states, as well as, their interests and security.

He added that, Iran seeks to destabilise the GCC region, particularly Saudi Arabia, through militias which work to spread chaos and destruction.

The professor pointed out that the Houthi and ousted Saleh militias tried to mislead the GCC states, stressing that the Determination Storm and Arab intervention sent an awareness to all governments and peoples regarding the dangers of these militias.

He added that the collation, under the leadership of the Kingdom, was able to restore legitimacy to rule inside Yemen, as well as to stop the Iranian influence and plans.

Dr. Lagur confirmed that the Arab coalition succeeded in cutting off the hands of Iran, in the south of the Arabian Peninsula.

Source: NAM NEWS NETWORK

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